Supply chain risk management company Everstream Analytics highlighted that global supply chains are heading into a year defined less by isolated shocks than by overlapping, high-probability disruptions that are increasingly difficult to contain. In its latest outlook, the supply chain risk management company identifies four events most likely to disrupt commerce and logistics in the near term, leveraging proprietary machine learning models combined with analyst-led intelligence.
The analysis highlights a sharp increase in cyberattacks on logistics networks, the escalation of hybrid warfare tactics, the growing failures of aging transportation infrastructure, and the strategic use of trade regulations as geopolitical leverage. Together, these forces are transforming supply chain risk from a cost and efficiency problem to a persistent security and resiliency problem that businesses can no longer treat as episodic or regional.
Titled “2026 Annual Supply Chain Risk Report,” the Everstream Analytics report reported 2,526 cyber incidents across all sectors between January 1 and November 30 last year, almost double the 1,295 cyber incidents reported in 2024. “The 61% increase in cyber incidents across logistics This is not the largest percentage increase in any particular sector in the last year. This dubious distinction amounts to automobile manufacturing which experienced 304 cyberattacks in 2025, compared to 37 in 2024, an increase of 722%.
However, the data clearly indicates that cyberattacks against logistics have skyrocketed in recent years. In 2021, Everstream Analytics reported 20 incidents. Between then and 2025, attacks increased by 965% targeting logistics.
Everstream recognized that the sophistication and geopolitical nature attacks in 2025 represent a fundamental shift in the threat landscape, with state-sponsored actors originating from Russia, China, and Iran are carrying out coordinated campaigns against maritime infrastructure.
Since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the number of Russian hybrid warfare actions against Ukraine’s European allies has increased. Intensified interference and defensive actions have led to increased logistical disruptions in countries such as Poland and Lithuania. Cyberattacks and a growing number of infrastructure-focused attacks could further disrupt European businesses in 2026.
Everstream presented a risk mitigation Logistics cyberattack response framework that covers procurement, supply chain planning and logistics functions, with actions mapped over the short, medium and long term.
From a purchasing perspective, the company advises that in the short term, organizations should immediately contact suppliers to assess the impact of an incident, ask affected suppliers to arrange alternative transportation routes until the issues are resolved, and assess stock levels for any disrupted materials. In the medium term, purchasing teams should work closely with supply chain planning and logistics to develop contingency plans to deal with possible supply disruptions. Longer term, Everstream recommends diversifying the supplier base across multiple geographies to reduce reliance on a single port, shipping lane or route.
For supply chain planning, Everstream note that Near-term actions should focus on adjusting production and distribution plans to account for delays, while intensifying decisions with executives to prioritize shipments for key customers. In the medium term, planners should incorporate real risk signals into scenario modeling to better anticipate shortages and delays. In the long term, enterprise risk assessments should be aligned with supply chain plans to create a more comprehensive and resilient business continuity strategy.
In logistics operations, Everstream recommends that companies first confirm any suspected cyberattacks directly with ports, third-party logistics providers or carriers using only telephone communication, and immediately disconnect application programming interfaces with affected partners. Internal stakeholders, including procurement and planning teams, should be informed about rescheduling upcoming shipments and securing alternative routes and modes of transportation as quickly as possible.
In the medium term, organizations should develop emergency route plans that explicitly account for cyberattacks on critical transportation nodes. Long term, as sourcing efforts diversify suppliers, logistics teams must rethink distribution networks to remain flexible across transportation routes and nodes, reducing reliance on a single port, third-party logistics provider, or carrier.
Everstream reported that the backbone of global supply chains, including ports, bridges, power grids and transportation networks, is rapidly aging and facing unprecedented stress, exacerbated by extreme weather. He expects at least a multibillion-dollar disruption in 2026 due to infrastructure failures.
Everstream also presented a risk mitigation response framework focused on infrastructure failures, with coordinated actions in procurement, supply chain planning and logistics.
From a procurement perspective, the company advises that in the short term, organizations should work with suppliers to establish pre-approved mitigation measures, such as expedited shipping arrangements, to be activated in the event of weather-related or other infrastructure disruptions. In the medium term, procurement teams should assess and map supplier dependencies on specific infrastructure assets. In the long term, Everstream recommends diversifying the supplier base across different geographies that rely on varied infrastructure systems to reduce concentration risk.
For supply chain planning, near-term actions should include adjusting safety stock calculations to reflect extended transit times caused by infrastructure disruptions. In the medium term, planners should work closely with logistics and procurement teams to model the impact of different rerouting and supply options, while integrating real-world risk signals into scenario analysis to anticipate shortages and delays. In the long term, enterprise risk assessments should be aligned with supply chain plans to support an overall business continuity strategy.
In logistics operations, Everstream recommends acting quickly after receiving notification of a natural disaster, severe weather event, or other infrastructure disruption to secure alternative routes and modes of transportation, thereby gaining first-mover advantage. In the medium term, the logistics teams should develop emergency delivery plans that explicitly consider critical infrastructure vulnerabilities. In the long term, distribution networks should be redesigned to minimize reliance on single points of infrastructure failure and improve overall resilience.
Looking ahead to 2026, Everstream says companies must shift from cost-focused supply chain strategies to resilience-focused models anchored in quantitative assessment of geopolitical risks. The focus should shift from simply mapping suppliers to modeling the financial impact of sudden policy and regulatory changes.
Trade policy should be treated as a dynamic risk rather than a stable situation. The volatility seen in 2025, marked by abrupt announcements, reversals and tariff escalations, is likely to continue, requiring scenario planning that takes into account unexpected cost increases of 15 to 25 percent on critical inputs.
Everstream also highlights the it is necessary to monitor ownership structures and geopolitical exposure, noting that a supplier’s parent company and political ties can be as important as its physical location. Continuous monitoring of these factors has become essential. The firm further highlights the importance of investing in predictive political intelligence. In 2026, success will depend not only on market knowledge, but also on anticipating trade policies, export controls and industrial subsidies early enough to act.
Finally, Everstream emphasizes strategic diversification and financial buffers as essential resilience measures. A multi-block sourcing strategy and stress-tested budgets are necessary to absorb pricing shocks and ensure that sudden policy actions do not harm profitability.
